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ALASKA VOLCANO OBSERVATORY INFORMATION STATEMENT
Wednesday, August 15, 2007 9:34 AM AKDT (Wednesday, August 15, 2007 17:34 UTC)


PAVLOF VOLCANO (CAVW #1102-03-)
55°25'2" N 161°53'37" W, Summit Elevation 8261 ft (2518 m)
Current Volcano Alert Level: WATCH
Current Aviation Color Code: ORANGE

Previous Aviation Color Code: YELLOW
Previous Volcano Alert Level: Advisory

AVO is raising the aviation color code for Pavlof Volcano from Yellow to ORANGE and the Alert Level from Advisory to WATCH. AVO detected a strong thermal anomaly at the volcano overnight. Seismic activity continues to increase in both number of events per hour and duration of individual events.

These observations fit the pattern of activity prior to previous eruptions and we now expect an eruption similiar to those in 1996, 1986, 1981, and 1983 to occur in the next day to weeks.

The last eruption of Pavlof began in September, 1996 and was first reported by observers in Cold Bay. A several-month-long series of ash explosions, lava-fountaining, and lava-flow production ensued. Ash clouds reached as high as 30,000 ft ASL on one occasion, however, most ash clouds were below 20,000 ft ASL. Prior to 1996, Pavlof erupted in 1986 sending ash as high as 49,000 ft ASL on at least one occasion. A hazard assessment for Pavlof and the Emmons Lake volcanic center is available on the web at http://www.avo.alaska.edu/pdfs/SIR2006-5248.pdf

AVO will be increasing its monitoring frequency for Pavlof while at this heightened level of unrest.

Pavlof volcano is located on the southwestern end of the Alaska Peninsula about 590 miles southwest of Anchorage. The community of Cold Bay is located 37 miles to the southwest of Pavlof. Pavlof is a steep-sided, symmetrical, 8261-ft-high stratovolcano. With almost 40 historic eruptions, it is one of the most active volcanoes in the Aleutian arc. Eruptive activity is generally characterized by sporadic lava fountaining continuing for a several-month period. Additional hazards in the vicinity of the volcano included light ash fall on nearby communities, mudflows, lava flows and avalanching of hot debris on the flanks of the volcano. For more information on Pavlof and potential volcano hazards, please see our web site: http://www.avo.alaska.edu/volcanoes/volcinfo.php?volcname=Pavlof />
Volcano Alert Levels
NORMAL
Volcano is in typical background, noneruptive state or, after a change from a higher level, volcanic activity has ceased and volcano has returned to noneruptive background state.
ADVISORY
Volcano is exhibiting signs of elevated unrest above known background level or, after a change from a higher level, volcanic activity has decreased significantly but continues to be closely monitored for possible renewed increase.
WATCH
Volcano is exhibiting heightened or escalating unrest with increased potential of eruption, timeframe uncertain, OR eruption is underway but poses limited hazards.
WARNING
Hazardous eruption is imminent, underway, or suspected.
Aviation Color Codes
GREEN
Volcano is in typical background, noneruptive state or, after a change from a higher level, volcanic activity has ceased and volcano has returned to noneruptive background state.
YELLOW
Volcano is exhibiting signs of elevated unrest above known background level or, after a change from a higher level, volcanic activity has decreased significantly but continues to be closely monitored for possible renewed increase.
ORANGE
Volcano is exhibiting heightened or escalating unrest with increased potential of eruption, timeframe uncertain, OR eruption is underway with no or minor volcanic-ash emissions [ash-plume height specified, if possible].
RED
Eruption is imminent with significant emission of volcanic ash into the atmosphere likely OR eruption is underway or suspected with significant emission of volcanic ash into the atmosphere [ash-plume height specified, if possible].
URL: www.avo.alaska.edu/activity/avoreport.php
Page modified: October 23, 2013 13:13
Contact Information: AVO Web Team

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